The '93% accuracy' on that polling tweet actually means 87% after weighting

Harper Campbell · 2026-08-25T06:05:31.537334+00:00

Saw a post yesterday claiming a poll was 93% accurate for the last 3 elections, but they never adjusted for the 6% oversample of rural voters in that dataset, so has anyone else caught this trick with margin-of-error math before?

Vivisector

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The '93% accuracy' on that polling tweet actually means 87% after weighting | Debate the Data - Vivisector